Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.659420 0.755306 0.859413 0.980732 1.118114 1.268749 1.446323
2025-01-26 0.531931 0.666093 0.824139 1.023585 1.268065 1.557463 1.925490
2025-02-02 0.444106 0.603396 0.805508 1.079580 1.440220 1.897121 2.518260
2025-02-09 0.361988 0.530787 0.760270 1.092806 1.559711 2.188857 3.097213
2025-02-16 0.296129 0.466274 0.712914 1.092893 1.659094 2.466053 3.696289
2025-02-23 0.246272 0.414439 0.673187 1.095024 1.758817 2.754461 4.349059
2025-03-02 0.206178 0.369376 0.634903 1.091213 1.846406 3.033643 5.022841
2025-03-09 0.178302 0.338614 0.613315 1.108905 1.967948 3.377586 5.838157
2025-03-16 0.151271 0.303884 0.578724 1.098123 2.038869 3.646358 6.562493
2025-03-23 0.134473 0.284561 0.567533 1.125565 2.177643 4.042715 7.546158
2025-03-30 0.115682 0.257675 0.537710 1.113426 2.242021 4.315278 8.343005
2025-04-06 0.102762 0.240187 0.522871 1.127010 2.354942 4.686083 9.357134
2025-04-13 0.087578 0.215274 0.489735 1.100399 2.388863 4.919114 10.152644
2025-04-20 0.080529 0.207222 0.490570 1.144314 2.570749 5.457997 11.601300
2025-04-27 0.075375 0.202622 0.498175 1.203934 2.793396 6.103450 13.335616
2025-05-04 0.067605 0.190072 0.485731 1.216924 2.917437 6.562095 14.741134
2025-05-11 0.060027 0.176444 0.468447 1.215952 3.010068 6.964990 16.074640
2025-05-18 0.053603 0.164538 0.453309 1.217625 3.108645 7.391235 17.504855
2025-05-25 0.047709 0.152847 0.436698 1.212975 3.191389 7.791167 18.920158
2025-06-01 0.043590 0.145409 0.429915 1.232244 3.334556 8.343599 20.738879
2025-06-08 0.038717 0.134637 0.412267 1.220151 3.397633 8.716356 22.181536
2025-06-15 0.035934 0.129801 0.410356 1.250348 3.572990 9.375035 24.368623
2025-06-22 0.032022 0.120417 0.393715 1.236866 3.631533 9.755419 25.923202